A bucket
is packed with the same exact amount of black and red balls.
The top layer of balls was poured in last and you will be
picking from the top layer. Which color do you choose?
Write
your answer down.
Now
that top layer of balls contains black or red balls just
like the rest of the bucket contains black or red balls
and the entire bucket is filled with half black and half
red. So it doesn't matter what color you choose, but it
takes MUCH longer to decide what to do in this case. Ambiguity.
People
will favor options that have no benefit over the other for
no logical reason.
But
there is more...
...participants
are faced with two buckets. One bucket has balls numbered
from 1-1000. The other bucket has 1000 numbers from 1-1000
randomly printed on the balls. Obviously many balls will
have the same number...some numbers will not appear.
...a
ball is pulled out of the second bucket. The number is 687.
Now,
you have a chance to win money if you correctly guess the
next number pulled out of one of the buckets. Which bucket
do you choose to draw from?
The
vast majority of people choose the bucket where they saw
the number six eighty-seven pulled out of. There is no logical
reason to favor this bucket over the other one. BUT the
participants have SEEN a numbered ball out of this bucket.
They choose this bucket.
In this
case the second bucket is the MOST ambiguous. And indeed
when the chances of a positive outcome are remote, people
do choose the most ambiguous!!!
Finally
check this out: Participants in a research project were
asked to fill out a questionnaire for which they would be
paid $1.50. Before the money was awarded they were offered
a pen worth $2 instead of the money. 75% chose the nice
pen.
Makes
sense.
But
when the experimenters added a third option of two plastic
pens to the above two choices, 53% of the people took the
money.
KEY!
Do not leave ambiguous choices available to your client.
Define clear cut differences between your service/product/self
than the other available option. (If you choose more than
one other competitor or feature, you might just as well
slit your throat.) People don't want choices and they don't
want a choice where they have to figure something out.